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воскресенье, 8 октября 2017 г.

The MAYOR for "belt-tightening" people to the oligarchs happier life

28 Russian billionaires since the beginning of the year made a fortune at $17 billion
Bloomberg has published an updated version of the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, according to which the Russian billionaires since the beginning of the year increased their wealth by $17,099 billion. The August version of the index indicates the increase of the status of Russia's richest men by $10 billion since the beginning of the year. Leaders to build state of the steel, Alexei Mordashov, Vladimir Potanin and Vladimir Lisin.




The rate of growth of the Russian billionaires grow. This is evidenced by the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on the second of September. According to the index Bloomberg, 28 Russian billionaires increased their capital, totaling over 17,09 billion. On the same day a month ago, the index data reflects that of the richest men in Russia have become richer by $ 10 billion in U.S. currency.

The richest man in Russia, Alexei Mordashov from January increased the capital of 1.49 billion. As the main shareholder of "Severstal" is 18.4 billion.

Located at the second position in the list of Russian billionaires, the President of Interros and the Chairman of the Board "Norilsk Nickel" Vladimir Potanin has added to its state 905 million. State Potanin is estimated at 17.5 billion.

The three "percussionists" included the Chairman of the Board of Directors of the Novolipetsk metallurgical combine Vladimir Lisin. He made a fortune even by 3.47 billion. With condition 16.6 billion Lisin ahead in the rating of the holder of 15.6 billion Viktor Vekselberg.

Well-known Russian businessman and politician Mikhail Prokhorov grew to $ 470 million, but the head of "LUKOIL" Vagit Alekperov lost 693 million dollars.

The leader of loss the state Agency calls the head of "NOVATEK" Leonid Michelson, who became poorer by 1.9 billion.

2 August, the Agency Bloomberg with reference to the mentioned index has reported that Russian billionaires since the beginning of the year has added to its state of 9.76 billion.

The success of Russia's richest men are unlikely to appreciate the ordinary citizens of the country. According to the published in the spring of this year, according to research firm New World Wealth, our country leads the world in the degree of income inequality. 26% of all national wealth belongs to the billionaires, and 62% of dollar millionaires. At the same time, real incomes of Russian citizens during the years of economic instability has decreased by almost 13% and continue to fall.

Anton Plushenko

Russian rich men have taken to the offshore three quarters of the national income of the country
Wealthy Russians brought in offshore, the amount of funds equal to that which the population holds in Russia. According to the National Bureau of economic research, USA (NBER), by 2015, the wealth derived by the citizens in offshore since 1990 and amounted to about 75% of the national income of the country. The same are "official" financial assets of all Russian households, write "Vedomosti".

Over the years, national wealth has increased primarily due to the growth of real estate in price, but not at the expense of financial assets that are impaired as a result of hyperinflation of the 1990s and is still not fully recovered. NBER experts indicate that since 1990, the wealth has not increased, but merely transferred from one group to another, and its share is under the control of 10% of the most provided Russians has grown rapidly and now accounts for 45-50% of national income. The share under the control of the 1% of the richest 20-25%, which is even more than in the US.
At the same time, the share of the poorest Russians, pensioners and low-paid workers was reduced to 18% of national income. Credit Suisse had previously estimated disparity is even higher - the experts insist that the richest 10% of Russians own 89% of the total well-being of all Russian households.

National income per adult Russians increased from 1989 to 2016 by 40%, but only at the expense of the richest people, according to the NBER report. In 1989-1990 he was 60-65% in Western Europe, and now has risen to 70-75%.

According to analysts, the inequality in Russia is higher than in the countries of Eastern Europe, where 1% of the richest accounts for 10-14% of national income and billionaires. The condition of the Russian billionaires are estimated at 25-30% of national income versus 5-15% in the USA, Germany and France.

The National Bureau of economic research USA indicate that the Russian government, households and companies would still be richer, since the early 1990s through the sale of oil and gas Russia's trade balance from year to year was a surplus of income from exports greatly exceeded imports. This difference is provided to an average of 9.8% of national income. However, the official net international assets in Russia to 2015 amounted to only 25% of national income.

Some Russians have appropriated a portion of the proceeds from international trade, having withdrawn the money offshore, conclude the authors of the report. To sum up, the trade surplus for the years 1990-2015, the outflow amounted to about 200% of national income, considering the loss of accumulated income from foreign assets is 300%.

That the withdrawal of capital from Russia is enormous, says the chief analyst of Sberbank Mikhail Matovnikov. According to him, in the year the capital outflow is $15-20 billion, and in some years reached $30-50 billion According to estimates by the chamber in 2013-2015 at the expense of fictitious export-import transactions from Russia was illegally withdrawn $ 1.2 trillion roubles. At the Boston Consulting Group believe that almost a third of the $2 trillion of private money the Russians were in 2013-2014 in the offshore, and by 2019 this share will change little.
The Russians has prescribed a poverty for years to come

While the Russian economy is "rising from its knees", the Russian population will have to continue to "tighten their belts", it follows from the updated macroeconomic forecast for the next three years, which is published on Thursday by the MAYOR. Despite the fact that GDP and industrial production, according to the Ministry, will grow by more than 2% each year until 2020, the citizens of the Russian Federation in their wallets this economic miracle is almost not feel.
This year, according to the forecast the MAYOR, real disposable income will increase by only 1.2%. Next year growth will accelerate to 2.1%, but then again will decline and will amount to 1.2% and 1.1% in 2019-20.
The result is cumulatively over 4 years the standard of living in Russia will grow by 5.7%, offsetting only a quarter from the collapse recorded in the last 38 months, when incomes fell by 19.2%.
When the MAYOR announced the rates of income growth (an average of 1.4% per year) to return to pre-crisis levels will take at least 10 years.
Scarce resources of the budget and the economy scarred by sanctions and the collapse in oil prices, will not go for a better life, and investments, follows from the forecast of Ministry of Economics.
The volume of capital investments, according to the MAYOR, will grow at a faster rate relative to all other indicators, 4.1% in 2017, by 4.7% in 2018, and by 2020, will accelerate to 5.7%.
The plan-the forecast was discussed at a meeting with Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev, "supported by President Dmitry Medvedev" and will form the basis for budget planning for the next three years, said at a press conference the head of the Ministry Maxim Oreshkin.
The emphasis is on the investment leap, he said, it will enable us to reach GDP growth of 2.3%, even assuming that oil prices will fall by almost 20%, up 41.6 per barrel - a level the MAYOR lays in their projections for 2018.
The MAYOR exudes optimism, but it's based on what is not clear, says economist FK "URALSIB" Alexey Devyatov from the beginning of the year investment grew by 4.4%, but it postroyki in the form of "Forces of Siberia" and the Kerch bridge, no private investment in the manufacturing industry investments fall and record for 3-year collapse in earnings of the Russian companies even more pinches of financial resources.
Attempt to close your eyes to poverty in a country where more than 20 million people have incomes below the poverty line, and 40% complain of lack of money for clothes and food, depriving the economy of prospects with poor people to carry out a technological breakthrough does not work, says Tatiana Maleva, Director, Institute of social analysis and forecasting Ranhigs.
Authorities have ordered the wrong era: model, when cheap labor was the driver of growth, worked in the industrial era; now, when started the cycle of post-industrial, robotics, information technology, biotechnology, healthcare all require very different skills and different wages, she explains.
"And that is why the struggle for an adequate income of citizens - not the desire to respect social guarantees, and the economic imperative that is directly linked to the economic success of the country", - the expert believes.
Average statistics for Russia retouch sharp angles and not showing the whole picture: at a relatively high level of life in the capital in the country there are 15-20 of these "disaster areas", this is a huge area, larger than many countries, said head of Department of international capital markets, Institute of world economy and international relations RAS Yakov Mirkin.
For example, in the Republic of Tuva, the gross regional product per capita is 66% lower than the average for Russia - 2460 dollars a year per person, says Mirkin. This is the level of Bhutan, Honduras, or Papua New Guinea.

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